Projections Monitor 30 - Projecting June 2, 2013

Ranked by Projected TotalPlaysMonitored Across the Components of TotalPopularMusic Projected: June 2, 2013 Published: May 26, 2013 Rank Song Information Airplay Projections 6/2 5/26 Title Artist Projected 6/2 Actual 5/26 1 2 *** Number One *** MIRRORS JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20651 20139 2 1 JUST GIVE ME A REASON P!NK WITH NATE RUESS 20461 20978 3 4 CAN'T HOLD US MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS WITH RAY DALTON 16156 15728 4 5 HEART ATTACK DEMI LOVATO 15286 14903 5 3 STAY RIHANNA WITH MIKKY EKKO 15151 16549 6 6 I LOVE IT ICONA POP WITH CHARLI XCX 14712 13664 7 7 WHEN I WAS YOUR MAN BRUNO MARS 11119 12875 8 8 COME & GET IT SELENA GOMEZ 10912 9784 9 9 NEXT TO ME EMELI SANDE 10193 9758 10 10 CRUISE FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE 10040 9015 11 11 MY SONGS KNOW WHAT YOU DID ... FALL OUT BOY 9349 8751 12 12 DAYLIGHT MAROON 5 7555 8679 13 17 THE OTHER SIDE JASON DERULO 7269 6520 14 15 #thatPOWER WILL.I.AM / JUSTIN BIEBER 7216 7377 15 24 GET LUCKY DAFT PUNK 6998 5452 16 21 #BEAUTIFUL MARIAH CAREY WITH MIGUEL 6929 5756 17 16 THE WAY ARIANA GRANDE WITH MAC MILLER 6787 6529 18 13 22 TAYLOR SWIFT 6776 8485 19 20 RADIOACTIVE IMAGINE DRAGONS 6772 5843 20 18 LEGO HOUSE ED SHEERAN 6387 6169 21 30 TREASURE BRUNO MARS 6311 3954 22 14 FEEL THIS MOMENT PITBULL WITH CHRISTINA AGUILERA 6256 7911 23 22 HERE'S TO NEVER GROWING UP AVRIL LAVIGNE 5948 5617 24 26 GONE, GONE, GONE PHILLIP PHILLIPS 5058 4734 25 28 CLARITY ZEDD / FOXES 4885 4148 26 31 CUPS ANNA KENDRICK 4537 3768 27 32 LOVE SOMEBODY MAROON 5 4501 3116 28 29 PEOPLE LIKE US KELLY CLARKSON 4490 4009 29 23 SUIT & TIE JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE WITH JAY Z 4211 5531 30 33 I NEED YOUR LOVE CALVIN HARRIS/ELLIE GOULDING 3541 3077 Ranked by Projected TotalPlaysMonitored at the Components of TotalPopularMusic Uitlizing Our Exclusive TotalsProjectionsMonitor This listing reflects projected total monitored airplay at the CHR-Top40 and Hot Adult components of Total Popular Music. A  RED rank number indicates a projected airplay increase of 300 or more total plays. Not an "indicator chart" nor a "building chart" -- and definitely not a chart "representing the collective opinion of the publication's editorial board in ranking the current potency of commercial recordings as competitive radio programming attractions" -- the TPM Projections Monitor is scientifically compiled utilizing our exclusive TotalsProjectionsMonitor™ software -- incorporating current airplay and trending data. The "Projections Monitor 30" is published Sunday nights, to be available for Monday mornings. This listing from Mark Harris Broadcast Consulting is both a projection of what the Top 30 on the next week's Super Sixty might look like, and a programming guide for the coming week for radio stations airing the Total Popular Music radio format to be proactive rather than reactive in scheduling music rotations. Songs expected or projected to move to TPM Recurrents the next week are removed from the Projections Monitor 30. For more information about the Projections Monitor, Contact Mark Harris at MHBC. TPM ChartNotes: A week ago we were feeling rather smug about our Projections Monitor published May 12, projecting May 19. The first nine songs were listed in the exact order confirmed by the May 19th Super Sixty. This week we are less than thrilled about the May 19 Projections Monitor projecting May 26. It should be noted that we continue to warn that the trending used by our TotalsProjectionsMonitor software is always subject to change. And change it did! Also, we also emphasize that the PM30 offers "a projection of what the Top 30 on the next week's Super Sixty might look like" -- and, of course, there are no guarantees. Additionally, for the PM30's second purpose -- "a programming guide for the coming week for radio stations" -- we still value the Projections Monitor 30 from May 19. For example, while "Mirrors" has been delayed in ranking Number One a projected, it is still on its way to our top position (likely within days, as will first be seen on our Daily Dozen listings); and despite its actual May 26 ranking as runner-up based on TotalPlaysMonitored at the Components of TotalPopularMusic, is currently being programmed by TPM with a higher rotation rate than actual #1-ranked "Just Give Me A Reason" -- which, according to research, is beginning to show a significant "burn factor." Despite the ultimate inaccuracy of the May 19 projections in the first four positions, we currently plan to continue publishing the Projections Monitor 30 through the remainder of its scheduled "test run" -- after which a final decision will be made as to whether to actually make it a permanent published offering of Total Popular Music and Mark Harris Broadcast Consulting. A possibility currently under consideration is to make the PM30 an "independent" chart with its own week-to-week chart history, as BDSRadio does with its published "indicator charts" (as seen on our TotalPopularMusic.com Component Charts). As always, your thoughts and comments on all of this are welcomed. Also, it should be noted, we have returned to our original formula of considering only current trending at the time of compilation of the new PM30. That methology, used for more than a year in unpublished charts for internal use, proved to have a higher rate of success in offering accurate projections. Since we recently began publishing the Projections Monitor, we have experimented with various combinations of that formula combined (to one degree or another) with past week trending. To us, this proves once again the validity of the (somewhat trite) saying: "If it ain't broke, don't fix it." (Nevertheless, we still emphasize that any trending pattern is subject to change!) © Copyright Mark Harris Broadcast Consulting